South Carolina Community Profiles

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South Carolina 2030 Population Projections

Population projections are produced by the Census Bureau's Population Division and based on Census 2000 data. They are calculated using a model that assumes the continuation of current state trends in fertility, mortality, and internal and international migration.

  • South Carolina's projected population in the year 2030 is 5,148,569.
     
  • Between 2000 and 2030, South Carolina's population is expected to gain 1,136,557 people.
     
  • In the 2000 Census, South Carolina was the 26th most populous state in the nation. By 2030, the state is projected to rise to 23rd place.
     
  • In 2000, 12.1 percent of South Carolina's population was 65 years of age or older. By 2030, the 65 and over population is expected to make up 22.0 percent of the state's population.
     
  • In 2000, South Carolina ranked 32nd in the nation for highest percent of population age 65 and older. By 2030, the state is projected to rank 15th.

Download an Excel spreadsheet with population projections for all 50 states
 

Census 2000 and Projected 2030 Population and Change: 2000 to 2030

  Census 2000 2030 Projections Change: 2000 to 2030
Population Rank Population Rank Number Percent Rank in State Change
South Carolina 4,012,012 26 5,148,569 23 1,136,557 28.3 19
United States 281,421,906 (x) 363,584,435 (x) 82,162,529 29.2 (x)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.
 

Projected Percent of Population Age 65 and Older: 2000, 2010, and 2030

  2000 2010 2030
Percent Rank Percent Rank Percent Rank
South Carolina 12.1 32 13.6 26 22.0 15
United States 12.4 (x) 13.0 (x) 19.7 (x)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.
 

Change in Total Population and Population 65 and Older: 2000 to 2030

  Change in Total Population Change in 65 and Older Population
Number Percent Number Percent
South Carolina 1,136,557 28.3 649,126 133.7
United States 82,162,529 29.2 36,461,718 104.2

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.
 

Population Under Age 18 and 65 and Older: 2000, 2010, and 2030

  2000 2010 2030
Under 18 65 and Over Under 18 65 and Over Under 18 65 and Over
# % of Total Population # % of Total Population # % of Total Population # % of Total Population # % of Total Population # % of Total Population
South Carolina 1,009,641 25.2 485,333 12.1 1,036,349 23.3 605,660 13.6 1,143,807 22.2 1,134,459 22.0
United States 72,293,812 25.7 34,991,753 12.4 74,431,511 24.1 40,243,713 13.0 85,707,297 23.6 71,453,471 19.7

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.
 

Total Population for U.S. and South Atlantic States: 2000 to 2030

  2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
United States 281,421,906 295,507,134 308,935,581 322,365,787 335,804,546 349,439,199 363,584,435
South Atlantic Region 51,769,160 55,737,197 59,791,781 64,019,354 68,442,026 73,129,056 78,093,216
South Carolina 4,012,012 4,239,310 4,446,704 4,642,137 4,822,577 4,989,550 5,148,569
North Carolina 8,049,313 8,702,410 9,345,823 10,010,770 10,709,289 11,449,153 12,227,739
Georgia 8,186,453 8,925,796 9,589,080 10,230,578 10,843,753 11,438,622 12,017,838
Florida 15,982,378 17,509,827 19,251,691 21,204,132 23,406,525 25,912,458 28,685,769
Virginia 7,078,515 7,552,581 8,010,245 8,466,864 8,917,395 9,364,304 9,825,019
West Virginia 1,808,344 1,818,887 1,829,141 1,822,758 1,801,112 1,766,435 1,719,959
District of Columbia 572,059 551,136 529,785 506,323 480,540 455,108 433,414
Maryland 5,296,486 5,600,563 5,904,970 6,208,392 6,497,626 6,762,732 7,022,251
Delaware 783,600 836,687 884,342 927,400 963,209 990,694 1,012,658

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.
 

Change in Total Population for U.S. and South Atlantic States: 2000 to 2030

  Numerical Change Percent Change
2000 to 2010 2010 to 2020 2020 to 2030 2000 to 2030 2000 to 2010 2010 to 2020 2020 to 2030 2000 to 2030
United States 27,513,675 26,868,965 27,779,889 82,162,529 9.8 8.7 8.3 29.2
South Atlantic Region 8,022,621 8,650,245 9,651,190 26,324,056 15.5 14.5 14.1 50.8
South Carolina 434,692 375,873 325,992 1,136,557 10.8 8.5 6.8 28.3
North Carolina 1,296,510 1,363,466 1,518,450 4,178,426 16.1 14.6 14.2 51.9
Georgia 1,402,627 1,254,673 1,174,085 3,831,385 17.1 13.1 10.8 46.8
Florida 3,269,313 4,154,834 5,279,244 12,703,391 20.5 21.6 22.6 79.5
Virginia 931,730 907,150 907,624 2,746,504 13.2 11.3 10.2 38.8
West Virginia 20,797 -28,029 -81,153 -88,385 1.2 -1.5 -4.5 -4.9
District of Columbia -42,274 -49,245 -47,126 -138,645 -7.4 -9.3 -9.8 -24.2
Maryland 608,484 592,656 524,625 1,725,765 11.5 10.0 8.1 32.6
Delaware 100,742 78,867 49,449 229,058 12.9 8.9 5.1 29.2

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005.